Since early 2023, countries in Southern Europe have seen strong declines in unemployment, while those in the north have seen increases. This is helping eurozone convergence, adding to tighter ...

Yesterday's US inflation data was... mixed. Headline CPI rose 0.3% month-on-month, exactly as expected, pushing the annual rate up to 2.7% from 2.4% in the prior month. But core inflation came in ...

Bank Indonesia’s rate cut today surprised markets, but the overnight announcement of a trade deal with Indonesia by President Trump likely provided the confidence needed to proceed without delay. We c ...

The trade deal between the US and Vietnam boosted oil prices. However, with OPEC+ set to decide on August output levels, the ...

Donald Trump continued his tariff reveals over the weekend, announcing that the EU and Mexico would be hit with 30% tariffs from August 1st. That's far more than what the EU expected — they were ...

UK markets are beginning to price in the possibility that a new Chancellor could change the fiscal rules and loosen Britain's ...

Today's FX market focus is squarely on the June US jobs report. Does a consensus +110k release provide cover for Fed Chair ...

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Our FX options strike map uses publicly available options flow data to highlight where options positioning might – or might not – be concentrated, with consequences for respective implied and realised ...

JPY: The recent announcement of a higher-than-expected US reciprocal tariff on both China and Japan triggered JPY strength today. Despite the recent softening of US equity prices, President Trump’s ...

Bitcoins image boost In times of war, unfortunately, other news is quickly overshadowed temporarily.Gold, monthly chart, cup and handle:Gold in US Dollar, ...

Back end vulnerabilities. While there's been a material rate-cut-driven fall in US market rates, there are some risks ahead ...